Historically, Pennsylvania defies being labeled as 'Blue' or 'Red' state The 2004 election showed two of these three states to be true to the presidential preferences of their respective regions, creating a greater regional separation; thus, an argument that the country was more divided from the 2000 election. Cartograms developed by Gastner, Shalizi, and Newman at the University of Michigan provide another way to depict election results,[28] which change from a red-blue paradigm to one of shades of purple.[29]. But Biden won the most votes in the most populous county, also called Jefferson. They had ads, social media, conference calls, press releases, you name it on, all on fracking. If you're curious how long the streak is for each state, visit our 'Same Since' Electoral Map Timeline. He won 56 percent to Trump's 43. [10][13], According to another source, in 1976, John Chancellor, the anchorman for NBC Nightly News, asked his network's engineers to construct a large illuminated map of the United States. Not one! Virginia has continued voting for the Democratic presidential nominees (as well as increasingly electing Democrats at the state level), leading to its being reclassified as a blue state in recent years. With the caveat that we still know very, very little about Pennsylvania, let's zoom in on one county: Washington County, which is in the pro-Trump western part of the state. Is Wisconsin a red state? Per Holly's point, keep in mind Montgomery County is a giant, the third most populous county in the state. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? To do so, he improved upon Clinton's margins in a range of both. While I had less reporting on this, high turnout was also reported in the red parts of the state, too. Losing Pa would seem to require picking up something bigelsewhere. Voters head to the polls on Nov. 3 in Pennsylvania, a critical battleground state that boasts 20 electoral votes. [25] All these facts should be taken into account when looking at election maps. Anita And in a sign of how important PA is to the race, Biden tried to fend off Trump's attacks over fracking over and over. Geographic borders associated with district numbers may have changed. Error! Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Forty-seven of the 50 states were consistent in voting for George W. Bush or his Democratic opponent in the 2000 and 2004 presidential elections. Related: Would Pennsylvania make a better early primary state? Which States Flipped In The 2020 Election? There Was A Shakeup Overall, Pennsylvania is a blue state 49 percent of registered voters are Democrats, 37 percent are Republicans and 14 percent are independents or members of minor parties. PUBLISHED: November 5, 2020 at 11:39 a.m. | UPDATED: November 5, 2020 at 7:29 p.m. Pennsylvania's continued ballot count from the general election showed the state possibly flipping from red to . Use arrow keys to move around the map. Nearly every town, city and patch of farmland in the country is "purple", a mixture of people, each of whose own political preferences can vary. The analysis that suggests political, cultural and demographic differences between the states is more accurate when applied to smaller geographical areas. Updated on July 09, 2019 Our list of the most conservative states to live and work featured states favorable to people who enjoy greater liberties, educational choice, right-to-work status, and religious freedom. I think most of these states that we have either red or blue are going to be up for grabs. Here's why Pennsylvania is a Red State to the core. COVID-19 has hit people in Republican-led states hardest, study finds That solved the problem. I feel like my job this entire night might be explaining why #nothingmatters inPA. In 1980, when John Anderson had a relatively well publicized campaign as an independent candidate, at least one network indicated provisionally that they would use yellow if he were to win a state. With the exception of Maricopa County (Phoenix), Trump won all the Arizona counties that voted for him in 2016 by even greater margins in 2020. Biden won by larger margins than Clinton in every county that voted for her except for Philadelphia, where he won by about 4,000 fewer votes than Democrats had in 2016. #V. Would Pennsylvania make a better early primary state. More married men voted for McCain, but more single men voted for Obama. The last two elections have seen five states and a district in Maine break their same party streaks. Minnesota, New York, and Maryland, all of which Obama won state-wide, show this example with some exceptions. However, because of the large geographical size of many states in the Central and Southern United States, the color-coded map appeared to show great support for Bush and the Republicans with smaller outliers of Democratic support on the coasts and near the Great Lakes.[32]. The four "mega-states" have established rival and increasingly polarized visions of state government-one blue, the other red. If youre willing to fight for Main Street America, click here to sign up for my free weekly email. How red or blue is your state? | The Hill Eight of the districts gave Trump 58% or higher. Same caution about borders applies. The Democratic states, comprising 242 electoral votes had all actually gone blue since 1992 - six straight elections. Some precincts reported mechanical problems or ran out of supplies. [39] In 2008, 48 percent of U.S. voters lived in such counties, which increased further to 50 percent in 2012 and to 61 percent in 2016. The presidential primary contests are usually decided before Pennsylvania holds its primary, which is on Tuesday, April 26, this year. According to the NYT, more than 98% of estimated votes there have been reported. Tap or hover to see names. The numbers are clear: in 2020, 57.97 percent of Washington voters chose Joe Biden, and only 38.77 percent chose Donald Trump. It is not a red state. A large county or state in area may have fewer voters than a small one in area, for example. Please help update this article to reflect recent events or newly available information. 7%78%Median of all states 28%// State data highlighted23%Pennsylvania Median income Pennsylvania's median household. Idaho. High turnout meant long lines, which remain active at some locations.(Any eligible voter in line by 8 p.m. is permitted to vote. Texas was the biggest winner the second-most populous state added two congressional seats, while Florida and North Carolina gained one. Note that election maps of all kinds are subject to errors of interpretation. By household income, Obama got a majority of households with less than $50,000 in annual income. Maps show how Pennsylvania voted for president county-by-county - WTAE The following list is tabled from the last Presidential Election 2020. During the 2016 presidential election, two districts (the first and second) gave Clinton over 80% and 90% of the vote. Connecticut, Maryland, Delaware, New York and Pennsylvaniaare also among the ten densest states in the US. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. A 2021 poll found that 52% of Trump voters and 41% of Biden voters support partitioning the United States into multiple countries based on political party lines. If we do not know the outcome of the election tonight, is he cool, or does he try to claim victoryregardless? In September, just eight states had. Charlie and PA, MI, OH & IL are on track to lose aseat! The rate of drug overdose deaths has been steadily increasing in Tennessee over the past five years, and as with the other states, opioid drugs play a big role. The 50 political states of America - The Washington Post Pennsylvania is generally considered a battleground state, although it voted Democratic in the six elections prior to 2016. Biden rebuilt the "blue wall" and expanded the map Rust Belt states have been the base of Democrats' electoral map for a generation, but along with winning them back, Biden also expanded the. Dec. 10, 2020. Like around the country, we're seeing. Wisconsin is a swing, or purple, state. Red States 1 Arizona 1 Alabama 2 California 2 If a state is not a red state or a blue state, it might be a swing state . After the 2004 election, Vanderbei and then others made similar maps summarizing the results. While some red counties shifted to the left, larger margins of victory than Clinton in already-blue countieswas the primary force thatdrove Biden to victory. These "purple maps" are useful for showing the highly mixed nature of voting, but are extremely difficult to interpret in detail. By opting into newsletters you are agreeing to our. The Hill . Report that just went out from the Pennsylvania Election Protection Coalition on issues today in the state: "Among the issues: Several polling places opened late. One source claims that in the elections prior to 2000 every state that voted for Democratic candidates but one had been coded red. How red or blue is your state? ", "Why the National Popular Vote Compact is Unconstitutional", "Why Blue States Should Exit Red America", "Majority of Trump Voters Want to Split the Nation Into 'Red' and 'Blue' Halves", "Majority of Trump voters believe it's 'time to split the country' in two, new poll finds", "Biden came in to unite, but poll shows US is now more divided than ever", "47% of West Coast Dems, 66% of Southern Republicans want to secede from U.S.", "Shocking poll finds many Americans now want to secede from the United States", "Still miles apart: Americans and the state of U.S. democracy half a year into the Biden presidency | Bright Line Watch", "How People of Faith Voted in the 2008 Presidential Race". Is It All Coming Apart in the Governments Face? Electoral votes invalidated. The "Democratic blue" and "Republican red" color scheme is now part of the lexicon of American journalism. Trump:70,760 (61.01%) Next is Alabama at No. Sorry Marc. During Election Day in 2016, Democrats reported good turnout in Philadelphia, and Clinton actually pulled out almost as many raw votes out of Philly as Obama in 2012. Overall, Pennsylvania is a "blue state" 49 percent of registered voters are Democrats, 37 percent are Republicans and 14 percent are independents or members of minor parties. Blue states rank better than red ones: How'd your state fare in 14 Inversely, in solidly red states, most voters in most urban counties voted for Democrat Barack Obama; good examples for this would be Dallas County, Texas and Fulton County, Georgia (the locations of major U.S. cities Dallas and Atlanta, respectively). Robert Vanderbei at Princeton University made the first Purple America map after the 2000 presidential election. During Biden's final stop in the state yesterday at a drive-in rally in Pittsburgh, following his barnstorm of the state with his running mate Kamala Harris and their spouses, he said for the zillionth time that he doesn't want to banfracking. So, assuming NYT's 98%+ reporting estimate is correct, Trump got more raw votes out of Washington County like he wanted quite a bit more. The steady expansion of Denver and its suburbs turned a red state into a purple state, then into a blue state where Republicans struggle to win. This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about . [9] That same year, a color supplement included with a July issue of The Washington Post used red for Republican-favoring states, blue for Democratic-favoring states, yellow for "doubtful" states and green for territories that did not have a presidential vote.[10]. For example, the major center-right conservative parties in the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Brazil, Italy, Spain and France all use blue or its shades (whether officially or unofficially) whereas the major socialist, communist, or social democratic parties in each country are associated with red. I don't know where to begin! 2020 US Presidential Election Results: Live Map - ABC News This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about how the vote will report this year. He served as governor from 2003 to 2011 and was also the mayor of Philadelphia. Nebraska's 2nd district flipped back into the Republican column in 2012 and 2016, but supported Democrat Joe Biden in 2020. So first, I'm looking to see what exactly we learn tonight and how quickly local governments across the state are able to process mail ballots. Vertical lines before 1992, 2002, 2012, and 2022 show Census-related redistricting breakpoints. Some voters expressed concern about imposing constables, others reported feeling harassed. Similarly, Tennessee was won by Bush in both 2000 and 2004, but going into 2004, its governor was a Democrat and both chambers of the state legislature were controlled by Democrats as well. Holly Trump's team really focused on Biden's fracking comments for the last couple weeks, convinced that they could make all the difference in Pennsylvania. Trump:61,386 (60.51%) Former Governor Ed Rendell gives his take. If . Here's the count: 2020: [37][38] In 2020, 58 percent of U.S. voters lived in landslide counties. Redistricting 2021: Red states, blue voters Elaine Kamarck Thursday, September 30, 2021 FixGov After a COVID-19-related delay in getting out the census data, states across the country are now. We are one people, all of us pledging allegiance to the Stars and Stripes, all of us defending the United States of America."[26]. An example of data being processed may be a unique identifier stored in a cookie. Has Texas ever turned blue? - KSAT "[27] Arguably, this eventually proved to be somewhat true, but not in McCain's favor as Obama won three "red" states that had not voted Democratic in many years, namely Virginia, North Carolina, and Indiana along with a part of deep red Nebraska, via the state's (much less conservative as a whole) second congressional district. V4 Stands Against North African and Middle Eastern Invasion, Robo-Advisors: When You Have a Lot More to Lose than Money, FARM AMERICA: New York Citys Finest Cheesemongers, The Fed Independent and Non Political Joins The Resistance, Tucker Carlson Interviews My Favorite Florida Farmer. Likewise, Republicans have elected many statewide officeholders in states that vote strongly Democratic in presidential elections, such as Massachusetts, Illinois, Maryland, Vermont, and New Jersey. And since groceries are taxable, Idaho gives residents an annual credit to offset the fees (the credit amount is higher for seniors over 65). Our Maps Shouldn't Lie About Our Votes - Sightline Institute But in western Pennsylvania, as well as the northeast, it's more popular and has led to a boom in some areas that have been struggling economically for a long time. However, the combination of higher vote margins than Clinton in Tucson (Pima County) and Maricopa's flip from red to blue meant Biden still prevailed inthe state. States losing seats included Illinois, Michigan,. The counties that flipped their states for Biden - USA Today Further highlighting this polarization: While relatively competitive overall, only four states (FL, NC, OH, VA) were decided by less than 5% popular vote margin in the 2012 presidential election. 22 vs. 27th) and better average grades in eight of the 14 separate ranking topics: livability, rai A third possibility is that blue states tend to have higher urban density, which in theory could make spreading of the virus easier. Generally, the same held true for married versus single women, but a greater percentage of women overall voted for Obama than for McCain. That year, the crime rate was 3,620.15 crimes per . Earlier this year, one election official said the rule could result in upwards of 100,000 mail-in ballots being thrown out. The crowd cheers as U.S. President Donald Trump speaks during a 'Make America Great Again' campaign rally at Williamsport Regional . Why is Pennsylvania a battleground state? - York Daily Record Both campaigns have armies of attorneys at the ready for PA and other states. Blue States No. Is Your Good for Nothing Cash Doing Anything with Its Life? We're not going to get a call out ofPennsylvania. Polarization is more evident on a county scale with the growing percentage of the U.S. electorate living in "landslide counties", counties where the popular vote margin between the Democratic and Republican candidate is 20 percentage points or greater. Gray indicates available electoral votes that were either not cast or cast for a candidate not on the ballot. because red and blue state designations . The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee alluded to the color scheme when it launched a national Red to Blue Program in 2006. Youve Read The Last Issue of Intelligence Report, Now What? In 2020, Joe Biden won Georgia and Arizona, states that had last voted Democratic in 1992 and 1996, respectively. Some maps use more classes, such as shades of red and blue to indicate the degree of election victory. In previous elections, the color assignments or even the actual colors used were often different. The Democratic states, comprising 242 electoral votes had all actually gone blue since 1992 - six straight elections. If we just win one state between North Carolina and Georgia, then we could lose Michigan and Florida and still get over 270 electoralvotes.. And this basic arithmetic is in place even before voters factor in the disgraceful fact that VP candidate Kamala Harris is a self-admitted BLM-backed Marxist. The Democratic or Republican party of a particular state may have policies that departsometimes greatlyfrom those of the national party, sometimes causing that state to favor one party in state and local elections and the other in presidential elections. Stay tuned on Nov. 3 for live analysis from our reporters. To take one random anecdote, my dad claimed there was a four-hour line in one polling place in my home county, York (a very conservativearea). In a 2020 update from the Rockefeller Institute, the disparity between traditional blue and red states is even more significant, especially for the state of New York, Republicans' favorite target . A free app to create, analyze and share redistricting maps for any state. That's changed in recent years as political polarization has increased, resulting in red and blue strongholds with bigger victory margins. Its governor is Democratic, its Senate is both Republican and Democratic, and its House balance is also evenly split between the two parties. Not a single Penn county gave Clinton over 60% of the vote. The consent submitted will only be used for data processing originating from this website. We and our partners use data for Personalised ads and content, ad and content measurement, audience insights and product development. Although the Electoral College determines the presidential election, a more precise measure of how the country actually voted may be better represented by either a county-by-county or a district-by-district map. Telling tweet from election law expert Rick Hasen: "Biggest surprise of the election watch for me so far: Florida's election administration doesn't make my top 3 of places I'm worried about. All states contain considerable amounts of both liberal and conservative voters (i.e., they are "purple") and only appear blue or red on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. The 21st-century association of colors in American politics is contrary to the long-standing conventions of political color in most other countries whereby red symbols (such as the red flag or red star) are associated with leftist politics. Archie Tse, The New York Times graphics editor who made the choice when the Times published its first color presidential election map in 2000, provided a nonpolitical rationale for retaining the redRepublican link, explaining that "Both 'Republican' and 'red' start with the letter 'R. [7] The parties themselves had no official colors, with candidates variously using either or both of the national color palette of red and blue (white being unsuitable for printed materials). When do we get to talk some PENNSYLVANIA :eagles:? How a life-sized Biden could be a larger-than-life president, Three reasons Joe Biden flipped the Midwest, 284,931 cast by those registered as no affiliation/third party/other, About 548,000 mail-in ballots have not been returned as of now but if they are postmarked by Election Day (or there is not a "preponderance of evidence" they were sent after) and received within three days, the state Supreme Court said they must be counted. When Republicans Were Blue and Democrats Were Red - Smithsonian Magazine As such, a constitutional Republic form of government as the U.S. is (remember, America is not a democracy), could certainly be expected to vote for President Trump by an even wider gap in 2020.