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Lastly, they ask whether a recent survey of Americans attitudes about secession is a good or bad use of polling. RSS Loading. The first half of this episode originally aired on November 5, 2018, and was produced by Dan Pashman, Anne Saini, and Aviva DeKornfeld, with editing by Gianna Palmer and mixing by Dan Dzula. FiveThirtyEight Politics 295 views 25 Feb 2021 Transcribe your podcast [00:00:06] Hello and welcome to the 538 Politics podcast. The crew discusses the role of the debt ceiling in politics, why it exists in the first place, and the chances of it being abolished altogether. These articles reported facts without employing biased word choice, slant, or other types of media bias . The U.S. shot down at least three unidentified flying objects over the weekend. FiveThirtyEight Politics Transcripts | Podgist heritage commons university of utah. Galen Druke speaks with the founders of the political research firm Equis Research, Stephanie Valencia and Carlos Odio. They also touch on the health of the polling industry and how much Biden's success in a potential 2024 primary hangs on Democrats' performance at the midterms. Transcript of What The White House | Happy Scribe 71 Episodes Share Follow Seasons About 38 minutes | Feb 16, 2023 The Hero Who Rode His Segway Off a Cliff Steve Jobs called It "the most amazing piece of technology since the PC." According to Jeff Bezos It was not only "revolutionary," but infinitely commercial. The crew asks whether comparisons to former President Donald Trump's own classified document scandal are apt. Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss why live caller surveys are no longer the gold standard in polling and what it means for the future of the industry. Together they describe why the war has not turned out as originally expected, what the risks of escalation are today and how the conflict might come to an end. On Thursday, the Supreme Court wrapped up its first term with a 6-3 conservative majority on the bench. People are angry and politicians are pointing fingers. FiveThirtyEight Politics on Stitcher 10 Wednesday AM Reads. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Maybe its time to get rid of election polls. 'Coldest Case' review: Serial's podcast revisits a 1985 murder in The crew talks about where Americans stand on mitigation efforts, how politicians are responding, and what public health experts are saying about the current state of the pandemic. The crew talks about the appeal of celebrity candidates and what it tells us about our politics. Texas has been in a dire situation this week. FiveThirtyEight Media Bias | AllSides In this installment of Model Talk on the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke are joined by two climate modelers and authors of the latest IPCC report, Friederike Otto and Baylor Fox-Kemper. In this installment, the crew discusses how any potential changes could reshape the nominating process. They also discuss why gas stoves became such a hot topic of debate on the internet and what the 2024 primary for U.S. Senate in California will look like. 1 min read; Jun 05, 2022; Bagikan : parade of homes matterport . What does it take to make democracy work? June 2, 2016. The Negro League Stars That MLB Kept Out And Is Finally Recognizing. FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast Feb. 21, 2023 Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine Feb. 16, 2023 Nikki Haley Has Tough Competition In Trump And DeSantis By Galen. In 2018, the operations were transferred from ESPN to sister property ABC News (also under parent The Walt Disney Company ). They also break down how candidate misconduct is generally factored into the FiveThirtyEight model. You have to take and pass a grammar test, then submit a transcription template before you can get assignments from Rev. The crew discusses the Senate passage of the Inflation Reduction Act, new polling on how Americans think about crime and gun violence, and how state-level debates over abortion bans are playing out. The crew talks about what led to Cuomo's resignation, how New Yorkers feel about his replacement, and what this means for New Yorks 2022 Democratic primary race for governor. File Upload. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. FiveThirtyEight's COVID-19 podcast is laser-focused on evidence. OPEC+ announced its cutting oil production by 2 million barrels a day, President Biden is talking about the threat of nuclear Armageddon and shoes keep dropping in the Georgia Senate race. @Nate_Cohn: The Democrats are putting up an impressive showing in VA-4, the first special congressional election of the cycle. Politics Podcast: American Opinion Of China Has Plummeted, Politics Podcast: Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech, Politics Podcast: How Our 2022 Forecasts Actually Did, Politics Podcast: The Politics Of Loneliness, Politics Podcast: The Elections Happening In 2023. Accuracy is not guaranteed. The Deluxe version of our model simulates the election 40,000 times to see which party wins the House most often. The crew debates whether a poll asking Americans which animals they could take on is a fight is a "good or bad use of polling." Raffensperger's new book is called Integrity Counts.". What to do about George Santos | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast In Part 2 of this podcast, the crew asks why House Speaker Kevin McCarthy has declined to call Rep. George Santos to resign and considers a poll showing that 60% of his district's voters want him to. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts The crew talks about why President Biden's approval is underwater, what the consequences are for Democrats and what they can do about it. Commentators and politicos have given lots of hot takes on why Democrats did so poorly in Tuesday's election and what it portends for the 2022 midterms. As the 2022 primaries begin in earnest and potential presidential candidates look ahead to 2024, the fight over the future of the political right is underway. The Sporkful production team includes Dan Pashman, Emma Morgenstern, Andres O'Hara, Tracey Samuelson, and Jared O'Connell. They also discuss how the country has changed demographically and geographically over the past decade, based on the newly released 2020 census data. The Supreme Court Not So Much. They also mark two years since the U.S. shut down in response to the coronavirus pandemic, by using data to explore some of the ways American life has changed in that time. All you have to do is click the iTunes button below to subscribe to this podcast. The website, which takes its name from the number of electors in the United States electoral college, was founded on March 7, 2008, as a polling aggregation website with a blog created by analyst Nate Silver. The crew discusses Congress's recent slew of legislation and whether that trend will continue with the new "Inflation Reduction Act." They also assess whether narratives from the 2021 gubernatorial election in Virginia hold up in light of new data, and debate the hottest legislative topic in Washington: permanent Daylight Saving Time. According to a recent Marist poll, inflation is now Americans leading economic concern. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. FiveThirtyEight On The Road - Splash The crew digs into why Democrats underperformed in a special election in Texas. I'm Galen Truk. FT Podcasts FT Weekend podcast 31 min listen Best of: Chef Mashama Bailey on reclaiming African-American food The award-winning chef explains her creative process 2 hours ago FT News Briefing. All. Good Contents Are Everywhere, But Here, We Deliver The Best of The Best.Please Hold on! Podcast Transcripts of FiveThirtyEight | Happy Scribe In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew covers both the results of the Ohio Senate primary and the leaked draft opinion from the Supreme Court that would overturn Roe v. Wade. The crew previews Californias primaries, which offer unique insight into the divides within the Democratic Party. 00:14:18 - Federal health agencies asked states to pause in their use of the Johnson & Johnson vaccine while U.S. officials investigate reports of an extre . Will Democrats Rally Behind President Biden In 2024? With one week left until Election Day, the crew analyzes some of the high-profile races and which issues Americans care about most as they enter the voting booth. geoffrey.skelley: After West Virginia, the most vulnerable Democratic seats are Ohio and Montana. During a punchy episode of FiveThirtyEight's now daily politics podcast on Wednesday, Silver pushed back forcefully on anyone out there accusing him or his website of getting the 2020 election. Staff writer at The Atlantic Elaine Godfrey and political science professor Danny Hayes discuss the role local news plays in society and what happens when it erodes. They determine whether we live in a free or repres Ron DeSantis are the only candidates who currently have sizable support in national polls. In this live taping of Model Talk in Washington, D.C., Nate and Galen break down the current forecasts for the Senate, House and gubernatorial races. You can't imitate a worldview. Galen Druke discusses that question with pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson and writers Ramesh Ponnuru and Henry Olsen, who have all spent their careers in Republican politics and conservative thought. The crew discusses Manchins rationale and where Democrats might go from here. They also look at how the Democratic Party's effort to rearrange its presidential primary calendar is going, and ask whether a survey of Republican National Committee members was a good or bad use of polling. But you can form your own by listening and learning (and learning how to listen). The crew previews what to expect on Election Day and listens to some of the most common types of campaign ads aired this cycle. FiveThirtyEight's Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux and Nathaniel Rakich discuss the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Tuesday night's primary elections.Website: http:. The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in New Jersey and Virginian and looks at the debate playing out between the two parties over how much wealthy Americans and corporations should be paying in taxes. Dive in and Share your insights! Economics Professor at George Washington University, Tara Sinclair, joins to explain what is going on with the economy and the potential consequences of a spike in prices. They also analyze a new poll from the University of New Hampshire that shows the states likely GOP primary voters favoring Florida Gov. They also check in on the results from two recent primary elections in Ohio and announce the launch of FiveThirtyEights Redistricting Tracker. FiveThirtyEight Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight Podcasts Politics Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. Thee also tracks the latest voting restrictions being considered by Georgia Republicans, including a proposal to end early voting on Sundays, which is when Black churches traditionally mobilize voters through "souls to the polls" events. Crime analyst Jeff Asher discussed what those numbers can -- and can't -- tell us, and explains the challenges in collecting crime data. They also ask whether the US is in a recession, whether Andrew Yang's third party will succeed and how the DOJ's Jan. 6th investigation is affecting former President Trump. Galen Druke and Perry Bacon Jr. speak with political scientist and pastor, Ryan Burge, about how declining American religiosity is shaping our society and politics. They also look at mayoral elections, which are taking place in more than two dozen major cities, and special elections for a handful of vacant House seats. By our estimates, the Democrat is on track to win by 45 points, compared to 30 points in '22 and 36 points in '20. twitter. The Gerrymandering Project - FiveThirtyEight They also discuss ranked choice voting and the reasons for delays in New York City's final vote count in the mayoral election. Instagram did not return a 200. The idea of the celebrity politician isnt going away just because former President Trump is out of office. As the broader electorate shifted left in 2020, compared to 2016, Latino voters shifted 8 percentage points to the right. FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast | Free Listening on Podbean App FiveThirtyEight Politics https://feeds.megaphone.fm/ESP8794877317 Follow Share 13.5k Followers 200 Episodes Category: Politics Last Update: 2023-02-21 Claim Ownership From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. Podcast Transcripts of FiveThirtyEight | Happy Scribe FiveThirtyEight Politics ABC News (US) Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. Editor Chadwick Matlin turns the tables on Galen Druke and asks him questions about what he's learned from covering the 2022 election and his time as host of the podcast. Most recently, he ran and hosted 30 for 30 Podcasts, part of ESPN Films. FiveThirtyEight - Media Bias/Fact Check In the 2020 election cycle, Georgia found itself at the center of the American political universe. Galen and Nate discuss the state of uncalled races, what let to a good night for Democrats and answer listener questions. Also, CalMatters Politics reporter Laurel Rosenhall and political analyst Paul Mitchell join to discuss the status of the California gubernatorial recall election. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? The crew discusses how Liz Cheney and Madison Cawthorn's primaries serve as a test of what the Republican Party and its voters will and wont accept. Serial's new true-crime podcast, The Coldest Case in Laramie, revisits a 1985 murder. The crew talks about the most notable data points and what it means for Democratic and Republican strategies going forward. Since January 2021, eleven states have enacted laws that limit how teachers can talk about race and racism in schools and close to 200 bills have been introduced in 40 states. Americans Like Bidens Student Debt Forgiveness Plan. The crew breaks down the results of the June 7 primaries. Happy holidays! The crew runs down a list of theories in a game of Buy, Sell, or Hold to discuss what evidence, if any, supports some of these arguments. They also discuss shifting American views on foreign policy and the status of the infrastructure and budget bills currently being considered in the Senate. With the benefit of hindsight and some time to breathe, Galen Druke reflects on key moments of the 2020 race with the authors of the new book, Lucky: How Joe Biden Barely Won The Presidency. Where the hot sports takes of the week meet the numbers that prove them right or tear them down. The crew discusses the races to watch in 2023. Mental Health AI & Data Science Politics News Business Investing English United States 365 episodes since Nov. 1, 2018 episodic IN THIS PODCAST FiveThirtyEight Politics The team also discusses public opinion on gun laws after recent mass shootings in Texas, New York and California. Micah Cohen and Kaleigh Rogers also join to talk about why Republicans are not backing a bipartisan commission to investigate the January 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol. Latino voters swung by eight percentage points toward President Trump in the last election, the largest swing of any racial or ethnic group in the electorate. New York City-based political reporters Gloria Pazmino and Erin Durkin discuss the current lay of the land in the Democratic mayoral primary and the issues that are motivating voters with less than a month until the election. Tucker Carlson Has Exclusive Access To Jan. 6th Security Tapes. fivethirtyeight podcast transcriptsapplications of stepper motor ppt. The crew dives into four major investigations into former president Donald Trumps actions, the legal consequences he could be facing, and how the American public is reacting. Dec. 7, 2017 | Apple Podcasts | ESPN App | RSS 03 / Black Representation In North Carolina The debate over how districts should be drawn to ensure that minority voters are represented in Congress. On the Conversations with Tyler podcast, produced by the Mercatus Center at George Mason University, celebrated polymath and academic economist Tyler Cowen explores the minds and methods of today's top thinkers. Upload your Podcast as an audio or video file to Type Studio in our menu. Good Sport TED Audio Collective Sports Requires subscription and macOS 11.4 or higher 28 FEB 2023 The crew discusses what Cuomo's political future might hold and how New Yorkers are reacting to sexual harassment allegations. No place like 'Nam. Its October and the surprises are rolling in. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. The crew looks at why it took 15 votes to get Rep. Kevin McCarthy elected House Speaker and what that process says about the two years ahead and the GOP more broadly. FiveThirtyEight's political content often includes fact-driven statistical analysis. The crew looks at what Americans think about aid to Ukraine one year on, how the public may respond to Sen. John Fetterman's treatment for clinical depression and former President Trump's legal liability in a Fulton County investigation. They also rank the Senate races that will be most important in determining which party controls the Senate next year. Tensions between the U.S. and China have grown in recent years and, in this installment, the crew looks at changing public opinion of China and how it could shape American politics. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? The crew discusses the various types of legislation different states may adopt if Roe v. Wade is overturned, and how those policies jibe with local public opinion. From 2008 to 2019, the percentage of people who said they got their news from local papers fell by more than half. They also ask whether a recent poll that suggested about 15 percent of Americans believe in the QAnon conspiracy theory is a "good or bad use of polling.". Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. This is the second episode. Given some of the caveats in the poll, the crew asks whether it's a good or bad use of polling. Please subscribe to the Dow-ballot on Apple Podcasts and leave . In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew discusses the results of the California gubernatorial recall election. (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums . Legal scholar Kate Shaw also digs into some of the specifics of the terms major cases, particularly on election law. Local news is disappearing across the country. They also discuss the conditions that would have to be present in order for a third party to actually be viable in the American political system. Tucker Carlson Has Exclusive Access To Jan. 6th Security Tapes : The fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. The crew discusses why Bidens favorability is falling and how much Democrats should worry about it. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what's behind the recent movement in the forecast and answer questions from listeners. Sign up to get unlimited songs and podcasts with occasional ads. Nevada Democrats introduced a bill on Monday that would change their state's presidential nominating contest from a caucus to a primary and also dislodge New Hampshire from its position as the first primary in the nation. They also consider Arizona Sen. Kyrsten Sinema's motivations for registering as an independent and look at the latest polling on a potential presidential primary matchup between Florida Gov. FiveThirtyEight Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight The crew discusses how hurricanes shape political perceptions, whether 52 Democrats senators would be all that different from 50 and how the Electoral Count Reform Act could prevent future attempts to meddle with American elections. This is the final episode. 10 Wednesday AM Reads - The Big Picture The crew discusses what comes next in Democrats' attempt to pass election reforms, after their proposals hit roadblocks in the Senate. The team looks at the popularity of the Democrats' COVID relief plan and how both Democrats and Republicans are thinking about its provisions. In this installment of Model Talk," Nate and Galen reflect on the many twists and turns of the 2022 campaign so far, including the most salient policy issues and what the final results could tell us about pollsters performance this cycle. As the House Select Committee for Jan. 6 publishes its final report, the crew considers what the committee's impact has been on American politics and former President Donald Trump's standing with voters. January 23, 2023 Examined What comes next after Texas school shooting? FT Podcasts | Financial Times In this installment, Robert Crews, a History professor from Stanford University, joins to reflect on the history of the Taliban and the current political landscape in Afghanistan. The crew discusses how President Bidens executive action that forgives up to $20,000 of student loan debt will impact politics and the economy. The crew asks why Queen Elizabeth II's passing has received such intense global press coverage. Whereas Tester . security jobs paying $30 an hour; fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts In his new book "Aftermath: The Last Days of the Baby Boom and the Future of Power in America," Washington Post national columnist Philip Bump argues that many of the fissures that the country is facing today politically, economically, culturally have to do with the Baby Boomers getting old. On todays Politics Podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19, and the midterms. They also preview next week's mayoral election in Chicago and ask whether a new poll of Arizona's 2024 Senate race is actually telling us anything useful. gold rush supreme second chance winners. In this show, Jody Avirgan, Nicole Hemmer and Kellie Carter Jackson (and guests) take one moment, big or small, from that day in U.S. political history and explore how it might inform our present -- all in about fifteen minutes. His new book is called "The Engagement: Americas Quarter-Century Struggle Over Same-Sex Marriage.". 02:13:21 - Heartland POD on Twitter - @TheHeartlandPOD Co-HostsAdam Sommer @Adam_Sommer85 Rachel Parker @RaichetP Sean Diller @SeanDillerCO https://heartlandp Pew Research has released its verified voter survey, looking at how different groups within the electorate voted in 2020. Finally, they analyze why Bidens approval rating has increased by nearly five points since late July. FiveThirtyEight - Wikipedia Jury Duty: Who Gets Called, And Who Actually Serves A message from Martine. The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, but its not the only one. FiveThirtyEight contributor Laura Bronner shares what the data can tell us about the ideological direction of the court with the addition of Justice Amy Coney Barrett. Galen speaks with Atlanta Journal Constitution reporters Tia Mitchell and Greg Bluestein about how the Georgia senate runoff is looking in the final stretch. Tune in on your preferred podcast platform! Each week, host Jody Avirgan brings you stories and interviews about how data is changing our lives. By May 21, 2021 0 . They also introduce a new FiveThirtyEight collaboration with Ipsos aimed at polling Americans about the issues they care most about in the run up to the midterms. Max Fisher, author of the new book, "The Chaos Machine: The Inside Story of How Social Media Rewired Our Minds and Our World," speaks with Galen about the impacts of social media on politics globally and in the U.S. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Thanks! We speak with the director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute, Patrick Murray, who wrote an article titled I blew it. Video What to do about George Santos | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast 2023 ABC News Internet Ventures. 30, 2021 How The CDC's Blindspots Complicated The Fight Against COVID-19 By Maggie Koerth and Sinduja Srinivasan Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. FiveThirtyEight Politics Show - PodCenter - ESPN Radio The FiveThirtyEight 2022 midterms forecast is live, and it shows that Republicans are strong favorites to win the House while the Senate is a toss up between the two parties. Its generally considered to be one of the most comprehensive pictures of trends within the electorate. They also ask whether we should be skeptical of polls showing Democrats performing well in parts of the Midwest where polls have repeatedly underestimated Republicans. My mid-week morning train WFH reads: The SPAC Fad Is Ending in a Pile of Bankruptcies and Fire Sales: At least eight businesses that went public through mergers with "blank-check" companies have sought protection from creditors. podcast transcripts and podcast transcription services. Galen speaks with James Acton, the co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, about how leaders and experts weigh the risks of a nuclear conflict. MANAGER'S SALARY. And what does Florida's new voting law tell us about the GOP's efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the party's larger motivations? A lack of those relationships can actually have an impact on political behavior and interest in extreme ideologies. Georgians handed control of the Senate to Democrats in a pair of dramatic runoffs and voted for a Democrat for president for the first time in 28 years. The crew discusses what's in the "Freedom to Vote: John R. Lewis Act" and why Senate Democrats have taken it up despite unmoving opposition. Then the content will get automatically transcribed. Later, Monica Potts joins to discuss why voters sometimes contradict their partisan beliefs on ballot measures. In Kim Barker's memory, the city of Laramie . . The crew breaks down notable primary races in Minnesota, Vermont and Wisconsin. The conventional wisdom is that if former President Trump wants the Republican presidential nomination in 2024, it's his. The crew puts Georgia's new voting laws in context and discusses the challenges facing the Biden administration on immigration policy in the short and long term. Galen speaks with reporter Kaleigh Rogers about how candidates who denied the legitimacy of the 2020 election did in the midterms and what the future of election denialism looks like.